[Open-access] Fwd: The costs for going Gold in the Netherlands

Wed Mar 5 14:37:53 UTC 2014

In my previous calculation I myself made a mistake.
When in 50 % of cases Dutch scientists collaborate with one or more
international partners , it is fair to assume that for these cases costs
will be shared.
This means that if 20000 papers are published this way it will cost 20000 x
EURO 1087 / 2  =  EURO 10,9 Million. The other 20000 will cost full price 200000 x
EURO 1087 = 21,7 Million   This totals EURO 32,6 Million.
This figure is still 14,2 % less than the 38 Million cost of the current
subscription + oa publications in NL.
This is very interesting to know, since other calculations  have often
claimed that full open access would become many times more expensive (than
the current cost situation), see for example RCUK.
In spite of these new favorable data, the most important argument for me to
plead for 100 % open access is that it enables open science . That is when
we consider the form of open access with unrestricted re-use. This form
will also give the largest return on investment and apart from the economic
benefits it will have a huge social impact (education, informed citizens,
political transparency and more). We have to keep remembering that free
access alone is not enough.
And although I prefer to use the term journal based open access instead of
Golden open access, I do think that in the 100 % open access situation in
the future  publications may also be non-journal based in the conventional
sense, for instance MegaJournal or platform based

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Tom Olijhoek <tom.olijhoek at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, Mar 5, 2014 at 12:36 PM
Subject: Re: [Open-access] The costs for going Gold in the Netherlands
To: "Gerritsma, Wouter" <wouter.gerritsma at wur.nl>, Bjoern Brembs <
bjoern at brembs.net>
Cc: "open-access at lists.okfn.org" <open-access at lists.okfn.org>

I have read your blog post with great interest and I share the
considerations raised by Bjoern.
While this exercise is useful , it is also true that many of the figures
used are estimates.
I assume that the figure of 34 M spent on subscriptions can be verified.
But I am also skeptical because many of the Big Deals are supposedly secret.
So maybe , just maybe more is paid than we know of?
When the NL produces 40,000 articles and these would have to be open access
you calculate the APC of  EURO 1087,-  on average.
But at the same time you say that 50 % of articles is produced together
with authors from other countries , so the costs are probably shared.
I would say then that is reasonable to include this consideration in your
estimates. It would mean that the cost for the NL to go fully open access
would become EURO 21,750,000,-,  or EURO 12,250,000,-  less than the EURO 34 million
spent on subscription articles.
This figure is still off, because I think there is another problem with
your calculation:  You should not compare to the EURO 34 million spent on
subscription articles BUT INSTEAD to the EURO 4 million paid for OA PLUS the 34
million spent on subscription articles. This makes the gap even greater :
Full open access publishing would appear to be 16,250,000,- less expensive
than the situation that exists now (EURO 38 Million), we would save 42.8 % !
Two more remarks:  the APC of EURO 1087 is an estimate based on the current
prices. As you state in your article the APC are often very difficult to
find and it is also unclear how many articles are published with which APC.
so the average is not the real figure, but I agree that  for the moment it
is the best we can do. However it has been said several times by many
people that APC's may become as low as EURO 400 in a fully open access
situation.
Second, while the change to 100% journal based OA may not be as expensive
as some fear it will be, the other consideration is that open access will
greatly facilitate innovation, development, cross-fertilization, and thus
will have a huge return on investment .For this  I refer to the excellent
presentation of Mike Taylor at
Berlin11<http://svpow.com/2013/11/21/mikes-talks-at-the-berlin-11-conference/>

,

On Tue, Mar 4, 2014 at 11:59 PM, Gerritsma, Wouter
<wouter.gerritsma at wur.nl>wrote:

>
>
> For two working groups of the Dutch University libraries I was asked to
> make a calculation for the costs of a 100% Gold open access model.
>
> It will only costs 10.5 million euro extra was my conclusion.
>
> Blogged at http://wowter.net/2014/03/05/costs-going-gold-netherlands/
>
>
>
> Wouter
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Wouter Gerritsma
>
> Team leader research support
>
> Information Specialist - Bibliometrician
>
> Wageningen UR Library
>
> PO box 9100
>
> 6700 HA Wageningen
>
> The Netherlands
>
> ++31 3174 83052
>
> Wouter.gerritsma at wur.nl <Wouter.gerritsma at wur.nl%0d>
>
> wageningenur.nl/library
>
> @wowter <http://twitter.com/Wowter/>
>
> wowter.net
>
>
>
> #AWCP http://tinyurl.com/mk65m36
>
>
>
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-- 
Tom Olijhoek
Codex Consult
www.codexconsult.eu
coordinator @ccess open access working group  at OKF
DOAJ  member of Advisory Board
freelance advisor for the WorldBank Publishing Group
TEL +(31)645540804
SKYPE tom.olijhoek
Twitter   @ccess
LinkedIn  http://nl.linkedin.com/in/tomolijhoek/

-- 
Tom Olijhoek
Codex Consult
www.codexconsult.eu
coordinator @ccess open access working group  at OKF
DOAJ  member of Advisory Board
freelance advisor for the WorldBank Publishing Group
TEL +(31)645540804
SKYPE tom.olijhoek
Twitter   @ccess
LinkedIn  http://nl.linkedin.com/in/tomolijhoek/
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